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Red381
401150.5
5945170.0
2199168.5
Blue385
5546183.9
384177.6
3136134.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342380200300400500600381385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5945
#21
170.01.3
172.9171.7
Auto18.0
Teleop124.2
End28.8
blue by 13.9
183.91.1
178.9180.0
Auto19.9
Teleop135.7
End28.3
Second
2199
#24
168.51.3
162.8164.1
Auto21.9
Teleop130.2
End17.1
blue by 9.2
384
#10
177.61.0
170.3171.2
Auto17.1
Teleop136.8
End25.8
Third
401
#30
150.50.5
142.1142.6
Auto22.3
Teleop110.1
End17.8
red by 16.0
3136
#53
134.51.1
130.3131.4
Auto17.7
Teleop92.8
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed