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Red389
1629211.7
2028141.5
1885167.6
Blue184
3274142.2
5279118.2
2890137.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4422240100300400500600700389184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.70.4
206.8207.3
Auto25.6
Teleop157.6
End27.0
red by 69.5
3274
#37
142.20.6
142.0142.6
Auto17.2
Teleop110.8
End13.4
Second
1885
#15
167.60.5
169.5168.9
Auto16.7
Teleop128.9
End24.3
red by 30.6
2890
#22
137.00.3
136.2136.5
Auto19.1
Teleop100.7
End15.3
Third
2028
#40
141.50.1
142.2142.1
Auto16.6
Teleop105.8
End19.7
red by 23.3
5279
#60
118.22.3
134.7132.4
Auto16.0
Teleop84.7
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed