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Red289
611139.3
2199168.5
5243129.9
Blue126
1111128.7
2914122.9
6504131.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366278100200400500600700289126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#24
168.51.2
164.1165.3
Auto21.9
Teleop130.2
End17.1
red by 37.2
6504
#39
131.31.3
127.1128.4
Auto16.2
Teleop94.5
End24.4
Second
611
#26
139.31.1
135.4136.5
Auto18.0
Teleop103.0
End17.9
red by 10.6
1111
#47
128.70.4
130.6130.3
Auto17.1
Teleop93.2
End18.4
Third
5243
#56
129.90.1
131.1131.0
Auto19.1
Teleop101.7
End8.8
red by 7.0
2914
#59
122.90.2
128.6128.4
Auto16.7
Teleop96.9
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed