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Red386
836166.6
3793138.1
401150.5
Blue298
5115136.7
2537167.7
5804156.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318357100200400500600386298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#23
166.60.1
167.0167.1
Auto21.5
Teleop124.2
End18.4
blue by 1.1
2537
#41
167.70.3
167.9167.7
Auto22.4
Teleop126.7
End16.9
Second
401
#30
150.50.5
142.6143.1
Auto22.3
Teleop110.1
End17.8
blue by 6.1
156.60.1
150.9151.0
Auto20.1
Teleop117.9
End16.2
Third
3793
#42
138.11.3
133.3134.6
Auto17.8
Teleop106.3
End11.6
red by 1.4
5115
#48
136.70.2
137.8137.6
Auto18.3
Teleop102.3
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed