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Red422
1262189.0
122149.2
1522136.2
Blue273
384177.6
623180.6
2106150.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297386100200500600700422273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.00.3
183.9184.2
Auto22.7
Teleop132.9
End36.4
red by 8.3
623
#6
180.60.6
177.6178.2
Auto19.5
Teleop136.5
End25.7
Second
122
#17
149.20.7
146.8146.1
Auto16.0
Teleop119.7
End11.9
blue by 28.4
384
#10
177.61.0
171.2172.3
Auto17.1
Teleop136.8
End25.8
Third
1522
#28
136.20.8
134.1133.3
Auto16.7
Teleop98.1
End23.0
blue by 14.7
2106
#25
150.90.4
152.6152.2
Auto19.0
Teleop111.3
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed