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Red307
5243129.9
346168.1
401150.5
Blue374
5338170.2
5724145.4
3274142.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330343100200300400500307374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
168.10.0
166.1166.1
Auto22.4
Teleop115.9
End31.1
blue by 2.1
5338
#46
170.21.7
175.9174.2
Auto18.9
Teleop129.1
End18.8
Second
401
#30
150.51.1
143.1144.2
Auto22.3
Teleop110.1
End17.8
red by 5.1
5724
#50
145.40.0
148.5148.5
Auto17.7
Teleop108.1
End18.8
Third
5243
#56
129.90.3
131.0130.7
Auto19.1
Teleop101.7
End8.8
blue by 12.3
3274
#37
142.20.1
142.6142.7
Auto17.2
Teleop110.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed