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Red304
2534156.6
2537167.7
422161.8
Blue351
122149.2
5804156.6
611139.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3483080100200400500600700304351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2537
#41
167.70.4
167.7167.3
Auto22.4
Teleop126.7
End16.9
red by 11.1
156.60.0
151.0151.0
Auto20.1
Teleop117.9
End16.2
Second
422
#11
161.80.1
158.7158.7
Auto21.4
Teleop124.7
End17.6
red by 12.6
122
#17
149.20.5
146.1146.6
Auto16.0
Teleop119.7
End11.9
Third
2534
#31
156.61.1
160.7159.6
Auto19.0
Teleop116.3
End21.4
red by 17.3
611
#26
139.30.7
136.5137.2
Auto18.0
Teleop103.0
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed