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Red466
5957116.1
1731189.4
1418173.9
Blue244
4242147.8
3793138.1
4456117.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4102530100200300500600700466244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.40.0
185.8185.8
Auto22.3
Teleop143.7
End25.2
red by 41.6
4242
#43
147.80.0
146.7146.7
Auto19.1
Teleop110.4
End20.5
Second
1418
#29
173.91.0
173.2172.2
Auto21.4
Teleop127.5
End26.9
red by 35.8
3793
#42
138.11.7
134.6136.3
Auto17.8
Teleop106.3
End11.6
Third
5957
#57
116.10.6
118.1117.5
Auto15.4
Teleop87.9
End11.0
blue by 1.4
4456
#51
117.50.2
119.9120.1
Auto17.9
Teleop87.7
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed