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Red332
977147.1
888174.4
2106150.9
Blue425
4472168.2
2199168.5
4541169.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3103800100200500600700332425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#8
174.40.4
172.9173.3
Auto19.8
Teleop120.1
End32.4
red by 5.2
4541
#33
169.20.6
172.4171.7
Auto20.6
Teleop130.5
End17.4
Second
2106
#25
150.90.9
152.2151.3
Auto19.0
Teleop111.3
End18.4
blue by 17.6
2199
#24
168.50.7
165.3166.0
Auto21.9
Teleop130.2
End17.1
Third
977
#32
147.10.8
144.8145.6
Auto18.3
Teleop109.5
End17.0
blue by 21.1
4472
#27
168.22.2
173.3171.1
Auto20.6
Teleop126.0
End21.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed