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Red332
401150.5
1086149.4
2914122.9
Blue427
2377169.8
623180.6
122149.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263410100200300500600700332427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#30
150.50.9
144.2145.1
Auto22.3
Teleop110.1
End17.8
blue by 30.2
623
#6
180.60.5
178.1178.6
Auto19.5
Teleop136.5
End25.7
Second
1086
#20
149.40.3
148.3148.6
Auto26.9
Teleop110.1
End9.5
blue by 20.4
2377
#38
169.81.1
172.0170.9
Auto19.1
Teleop122.8
End29.7
Third
2914
#59
122.91.1
127.6126.5
Auto16.7
Teleop96.9
End6.9
blue by 26.3
122
#17
149.20.9
146.6147.5
Auto16.0
Teleop119.7
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed