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Red294
2537167.7
540148.6
1111128.7
Blue429
422161.8
1727114.9
5945170.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3703120100200400500600294429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2537
#41
167.70.5
167.3166.7
Auto22.4
Teleop126.7
End16.9
blue by 2.3
5945
#21
170.00.7
170.3169.6
Auto18.0
Teleop124.2
End28.8
Second
540
#16
148.60.2
147.5147.7
Auto16.9
Teleop108.3
End26.0
blue by 13.2
422
#11
161.80.3
158.7158.4
Auto21.4
Teleop124.7
End17.6
Third
1111
#47
128.70.2
129.4129.2
Auto17.1
Teleop93.2
End18.4
red by 13.8
1727
#45
114.92.1
119.1117.0
Auto16.5
Teleop84.0
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed