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Red371
116140.7
122149.2
2534156.6
Blue335
3793138.1
977147.1
6504131.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396264100200300500600700371335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#31
156.60.9
158.4159.3
Auto19.0
Teleop116.3
End21.4
red by 9.6
977
#32
147.10.6
141.4142.0
Auto18.3
Teleop109.5
End17.0
Second
122
#17
149.21.2
142.3143.5
Auto16.0
Teleop119.7
End11.9
red by 11.2
3793
#42
138.11.1
127.2128.3
Auto17.8
Teleop106.3
End11.6
Third
116
#49
140.71.5
137.5139.0
Auto15.8
Teleop109.3
End12.2
red by 9.4
6504
#39
131.30.1
124.6124.7
Auto16.2
Teleop94.5
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed