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Red264
4242147.8
1522136.2
1599166.1
Blue407
2028141.5
2537167.7
4456117.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334321250300350400450264407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#12
166.10.1
159.9160.0
Auto20.0
Teleop119.8
End25.7
blue by 1.6
2537
#41
167.70.4
166.1166.5
Auto22.4
Teleop126.7
End16.9
Second
4242
#43
147.81.4
146.1147.4
Auto19.1
Teleop110.4
End20.5
red by 6.2
2028
#40
141.51.2
135.6136.8
Auto16.6
Teleop105.8
End19.7
Third
1522
#28
136.20.3
134.4134.7
Auto16.7
Teleop98.1
End23.0
red by 18.7
4456
#51
117.50.2
118.9119.1
Auto17.9
Teleop87.7
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed