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Red357
2106150.9
614152.8
5243129.9
Blue297
1599166.1
2028141.5
6194130.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322346100200400500357297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#14
152.80.4
154.7154.3
Auto19.5
Teleop117.8
End12.6
blue by 13.4
1599
#12
166.11.4
162.9164.3
Auto20.0
Teleop119.8
End25.7
Second
2106
#25
150.90.3
151.3151.0
Auto19.0
Teleop111.3
End18.4
red by 9.4
2028
#40
141.50.2
142.1141.9
Auto16.6
Teleop105.8
End19.7
Third
5243
#56
129.90.2
130.7130.5
Auto19.1
Teleop101.7
End8.8
blue by 0.9
6194
#54
130.80.2
129.2129.4
Auto18.1
Teleop94.1
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed