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Red263
4456117.5
888174.4
5724145.4
Blue375
6334162.5
1885167.6
5804156.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298395100200500600263375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#8
174.40.8
173.3174.1
Auto19.8
Teleop120.1
End32.4
red by 6.8
1885
#15
167.60.2
168.6168.4
Auto16.7
Teleop128.9
End24.3
Second
5724
#50
145.40.2
148.5148.7
Auto17.7
Teleop108.1
End18.8
blue by 17.1
162.51.2
156.4157.6
Auto25.9
Teleop112.4
End26.8
Third
4456
#51
117.50.3
120.1119.9
Auto17.9
Teleop87.7
End13.3
blue by 39.1
156.60.6
151.0151.5
Auto20.1
Teleop117.9
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsMissed88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsEarned