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Red433
1727114.9
1731189.4
2537167.7
Blue190
5724145.4
4541169.2
2363166.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3053650100200400500600700433190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.40.2
186.6186.8
Auto22.3
Teleop143.7
End25.2
red by 20.2
4541
#33
169.20.3
171.8172.2
Auto20.6
Teleop130.5
End17.4
Second
2537
#41
167.70.7
166.7166.1
Auto22.4
Teleop126.7
End16.9
red by 0.7
2363
#19
166.91.1
171.5170.4
Auto22.4
Teleop130.1
End14.7
Third
1727
#45
114.90.8
117.0116.2
Auto16.5
Teleop84.0
End15.7
blue by 30.4
5724
#50
145.40.4
148.7148.3
Auto17.7
Teleop108.1
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed