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Red210
3793138.1
5950135.1
116140.7
Blue335
1111128.7
2106150.9
6802151.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332329200250300350400450210335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
#49
140.70.7
141.7142.4
Auto15.8
Teleop109.3
End12.2
blue by 10.7
6802
#36
151.40.7
151.8151.1
Auto22.3
Teleop110.8
End18.5
Second
3793
#42
138.11.0
137.3138.3
Auto17.8
Teleop106.3
End11.6
blue by 12.8
2106
#25
150.90.3
151.0150.7
Auto19.0
Teleop111.3
End18.4
Third
5950
#34
135.10.4
138.2137.8
Auto19.0
Teleop97.3
End13.4
red by 6.4
1111
#47
128.70.4
129.2128.8
Auto17.1
Teleop93.2
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed