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Red356
5338170.2
4456117.5
1629211.7
Blue266
5546183.9
836166.6
122149.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323373100200500600700356266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.70.7
208.6209.3
Auto25.6
Teleop157.6
End27.0
red by 27.8
183.90.8
183.3184.1
Auto19.9
Teleop135.7
End28.3
Second
5338
#46
170.21.8
173.0171.2
Auto18.9
Teleop129.1
End18.8
red by 3.6
836
#23
166.60.5
168.6168.1
Auto21.5
Teleop124.2
End18.4
Third
4456
#51
117.50.8
119.9119.0
Auto17.9
Teleop87.7
End13.3
blue by 31.7
122
#17
149.21.1
147.5148.6
Auto16.0
Teleop119.7
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed