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Red431
4027160.3
27203.0
2767239.5
Blue229
217226.8
4130161.6
3357228.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384384250300350400450500431229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
Unranked
239.50.0
239.5239.5
Auto23.5
Teleop172.3
End43.1
red by 11.4
3357
Unranked
228.10.1
228.1228.1
Auto20.8
Teleop176.4
End31.3
Second
27
Unranked
203.00.1
202.8202.9
Auto22.5
Teleop151.8
End29.2
blue by 23.8
217
Unranked
226.80.1
226.8226.9
Auto22.0
Teleop179.7
End25.7
Third
4027
Unranked
160.30.2
159.8160.0
Auto24.5
Teleop118.0
End16.0
blue by 1.3
4130
Unranked
161.60.0
161.5161.6
Auto17.2
Teleop120.5
End24.6