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Red334
4027160.3
27203.0
2767239.5
Blue346
865194.2
494208.7
4917209.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394367200250300450500550600334346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
Unranked
239.50.0
239.5239.5
Auto23.5
Teleop172.3
End43.1
red by 29.6
4917
Unranked
209.90.3
210.2209.9
Auto25.1
Teleop153.4
End28.1
Second
27
Unranked
203.00.1
202.7202.8
Auto22.5
Teleop151.8
End29.2
blue by 5.7
494
Unranked
208.70.4
209.1208.7
Auto21.3
Teleop160.5
End23.8
Third
4027
Unranked
160.30.3
159.5159.8
Auto24.5
Teleop118.0
End16.0
blue by 34.0
865
Unranked
194.20.3
194.5194.2
Auto25.1
Teleop139.3
End26.2