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Red343
333160.3
3707210.7
195232.7
Blue383
2869143.3
2056254.8
1241233.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374396100200300500600700343383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
232.70.1
232.6232.7
Auto24.9
Teleop175.3
End32.2
blue by 22.1
2056
Unranked
254.80.1
254.8254.8
Auto27.7
Teleop182.1
End43.5
Second
3707
Unranked
210.70.2
210.5210.7
Auto23.0
Teleop154.0
End33.2
blue by 22.7
1241
Unranked
233.50.1
233.4233.5
Auto23.4
Teleop175.1
End33.5
Third
333
Unranked
160.30.1
160.4160.3
Auto22.0
Teleop121.4
End15.2
red by 17.0
2869
Unranked
143.30.1
143.2143.3
Auto21.1
Teleop107.4
End12.9