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Red465
217226.8
4130161.6
3357228.1
Blue329
4541169.9
868201.4
4003209.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38637202006008001,0001,200465329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
Unranked
228.10.1
228.0228.1
Auto20.8
Teleop176.4
End31.3
red by 18.2
4003
Unranked
209.80.1
209.7209.8
Auto22.0
Teleop161.8
End29.2
Second
217
Unranked
226.80.1
226.7226.8
Auto22.0
Teleop179.7
End25.7
red by 25.4
868
Unranked
201.40.1
201.3201.4
Auto25.0
Teleop146.4
End31.8
Third
4130
Unranked
161.60.0
161.5161.5
Auto17.2
Teleop120.5
End24.6
blue by 8.3
4541
Unranked
169.90.1
169.8169.9
Auto20.4
Teleop132.9
End19.1