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Red269
51157.9
494208.7
4917209.9
Blue463
2869143.3
2056254.8
1241233.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3304370100200400500600700269463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
Unranked
209.90.2
210.4210.2
Auto25.1
Teleop153.4
End28.1
blue by 44.8
2056
Unranked
254.80.1
254.9254.8
Auto27.7
Teleop182.1
End43.5
Second
494
Unranked
208.70.4
209.5209.1
Auto21.3
Teleop160.5
End23.8
blue by 24.8
1241
Unranked
233.50.1
233.3233.4
Auto23.4
Teleop175.1
End33.5
Third
51
Unranked
157.90.1
158.0157.9
Auto18.0
Teleop111.1
End27.8
red by 14.6
2869
Unranked
143.30.0
143.2143.2
Auto21.1
Teleop107.4
End12.9