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Red417
4027160.3
27203.0
2767239.5
Blue330
217226.8
4967170.4
3357228.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380395100200300500600700800417330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
Unranked
239.50.0
239.5239.5
Auto23.5
Teleop172.3
End43.1
red by 11.4
3357
Unranked
228.10.1
227.9228.0
Auto20.8
Teleop176.4
End31.3
Second
27
Unranked
203.00.1
202.6202.7
Auto22.5
Teleop151.8
End29.2
blue by 23.8
217
Unranked
226.80.1
226.6226.7
Auto22.0
Teleop179.7
End25.7
Third
4027
Unranked
160.30.3
159.2159.5
Auto24.5
Teleop118.0
End16.0
blue by 10.1
4967
Unranked
170.40.2
170.1170.3
Auto25.2
Teleop118.4
End27.2