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Red430
2869143.3
2056254.8
1241233.5
Blue281
4027160.3
27203.0
2767239.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40937901,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,000430281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
Unranked
254.80.0
255.0255.0
Auto27.7
Teleop182.1
End43.5
red by 15.2
2767
Unranked
239.50.0
239.5239.5
Auto23.5
Teleop172.3
End43.1
Second
1241
Unranked
233.50.1
233.1233.2
Auto23.4
Teleop175.1
End33.5
red by 30.4
27
Unranked
203.00.2
202.3202.5
Auto22.5
Teleop151.8
End29.2
Third
2869
Unranked
143.30.1
143.0143.1
Auto21.1
Teleop107.4
End12.9
blue by 17.0
4027
Unranked
160.30.3
158.6158.9
Auto24.5
Teleop118.0
End16.0