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Red302
217226.8
4967170.4
3357228.1
Blue422
333160.3
3707210.7
195232.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391378200300500600302422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
Unranked
228.10.2
227.6227.8
Auto20.8
Teleop176.4
End31.3
blue by 4.6
195
Unranked
232.70.1
232.3232.4
Auto24.9
Teleop175.3
End32.2
Second
217
Unranked
226.80.2
226.2226.4
Auto22.0
Teleop179.7
End25.7
red by 16.1
3707
Unranked
210.70.3
209.7210.0
Auto23.0
Teleop154.0
End33.2
Third
4967
Unranked
170.40.3
169.6169.9
Auto25.2
Teleop118.4
End27.2
red by 10.1
333
Unranked
160.30.1
160.7160.6
Auto22.0
Teleop121.4
End15.2