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Red306
4541169.9
868201.4
4003209.8
Blue413
4027160.3
27203.0
2767239.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380382300350400450500306413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
Unranked
209.80.2
209.3209.5
Auto22.0
Teleop161.8
End29.2
blue by 29.7
2767
Unranked
239.50.0
239.5239.5
Auto23.5
Teleop172.3
End43.1
Second
868
Unranked
201.40.3
200.8201.0
Auto25.0
Teleop146.4
End31.8
blue by 1.6
27
Unranked
203.00.1
202.5202.6
Auto22.5
Teleop151.8
End29.2
Third
4541
Unranked
169.90.2
169.4169.6
Auto20.4
Teleop132.9
End19.1
red by 9.6
4027
Unranked
160.30.3
158.9159.2
Auto24.5
Teleop118.0
End16.0