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Red311
51157.9
494208.7
4917209.9
Blue380
333160.3
3707210.7
195232.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328413100200500600700311380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
Unranked
209.90.2
210.6210.4
Auto25.1
Teleop153.4
End28.1
blue by 22.8
195
Unranked
232.70.1
232.4232.5
Auto24.9
Teleop175.3
End32.2
Second
494
Unranked
208.70.4
209.9209.5
Auto21.3
Teleop160.5
End23.8
blue by 2.0
3707
Unranked
210.70.3
210.0210.2
Auto23.0
Teleop154.0
End33.2
Third
51
Unranked
157.90.1
158.1158.0
Auto18.0
Teleop111.1
End27.8
blue by 2.4
333
Unranked
160.30.1
160.6160.5
Auto22.0
Teleop121.4
End15.2