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Red379
148226.5
254253.0
2976167.9
Blue209
2910220.2
4911190.3
4499159.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439313100200400500600700800379209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
253.00.3
253.7253.3
Auto28.0
Teleop175.4
End47.0
red by 32.8
2910
Unranked
220.20.2
220.0220.2
Auto21.5
Teleop169.0
End29.0
Second
148
Unranked
226.50.4
227.3226.9
Auto23.8
Teleop169.5
End30.8
red by 36.1
4911
Unranked
190.30.2
190.1190.3
Auto22.8
Teleop140.0
End27.5
Third
2976
Unranked
167.90.0
168.0168.0
Auto19.8
Teleop134.6
End12.5
red by 8.4
4499
Unranked
159.50.2
159.3159.5
Auto26.3
Teleop120.5
End11.7