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Red439
4061157.1
1619217.8
1678252.1
Blue187
1778148.6
1323230.9
3476207.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378386200250300350450500550439187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
Unranked
252.10.2
252.3252.1
Auto29.0
Teleop173.2
End48.1
red by 21.2
1323
Unranked
230.90.2
230.8230.9
Auto27.1
Teleop165.7
End36.6
Second
1619
Unranked
217.80.3
218.1217.8
Auto24.8
Teleop155.9
End34.6
red by 10.4
3476
Unranked
207.40.2
207.1207.4
Auto25.0
Teleop144.5
End37.1
Third
4061
Unranked
157.10.1
157.2157.1
Auto23.4
Teleop117.5
End15.5
red by 8.5
1778
Unranked
148.60.1
148.5148.6
Auto18.1
Teleop119.8
End9.6