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Red330
148238.0
1619223.4
5414133.7
Blue402
3005195.1
118216.6
4293141.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401360200300500600330402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#2
238.00.0
238.1238.1
Auto24.8
Teleop172.2
End36.2
red by 21.4
118
#3
216.60.1
216.8216.7
Auto28.7
Teleop156.3
End30.8
Second
223.40.3
223.0223.2
Auto25.0
Teleop152.5
End44.2
red by 28.3
3005
#17
195.10.1
195.3195.2
Auto25.3
Teleop140.0
End27.4
Third
5414
#24
133.70.2
134.2134.0
Auto19.7
Teleop102.5
End7.7
blue by 7.4
4293
#30
141.10.0
141.1141.1
Auto17.5
Teleop109.8
End11.4