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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Colorado Regional
Red300
1011172.0
2996173.5
4593128.9
Blue407
2848181.4
1339182.7
4499154.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3184000100200500600700800300407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#4
173.50.7
172.8→173.5
Auto19.0
Teleop127.5
End28.5
blue by 9.2
1339
#7
182.70.1
182.5→182.5
Auto26.0
Teleop132.9
End21.7
Second
1011
#8
172.00.2
171.8→172.0
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End15.7
blue by 9.4
2848
#14
181.40.1
181.7→181.7
Auto22.6
Teleop132.1
End25.3
Third
4593
#21
128.90.3
129.2→128.9
Auto16.8
Teleop102.1
End6.3
blue by 25.6
4499
#16
154.40.2
153.8→154.0
Auto24.9
Teleop118.5
End11.1