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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Colorado Regional
Red290
1011172.0
2996173.5
4593128.9
Blue322
2848181.4
1339182.7
4499154.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3214020100200500600700290322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#4
173.50.8
172.0→172.8
Auto19.0
Teleop127.5
End28.5
blue by 9.2
1339
#7
182.70.1
182.3→182.5
Auto26.0
Teleop132.9
End21.7
Second
1011
#8
172.00.3
171.5→171.8
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End15.7
blue by 9.4
2848
#14
181.40.0
181.8→181.7
Auto22.6
Teleop132.1
End25.3
Third
4593
#21
128.90.2
129.4→129.2
Auto16.8
Teleop102.1
End6.3
blue by 25.6
4499
#16
154.40.3
153.5→153.8
Auto24.9
Teleop118.5
End11.1