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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Colorado Regional
Red494
3005195.1
118216.6
4293141.1
Blue179
4944170.7
1730188.4
4068125.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions447286100200400500600700494179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#3
216.60.0
216.9→216.9
Auto28.7
Teleop156.3
End30.8
red by 28.2
1730
#9
188.40.2
188.6→188.4
Auto25.1
Teleop146.8
End16.1
Second
3005
#17
195.10.1
195.8→195.7
Auto25.3
Teleop140.0
End27.4
red by 24.4
4944
#15
170.70.1
170.5→170.7
Auto21.3
Teleop128.7
End20.2
Third
4293
#30
141.10.1
140.8→140.9
Auto17.5
Teleop109.8
End11.4
red by 16.0
4068
#52
125.10.5
124.6→125.1
Auto13.0
Teleop91.8
End20.6