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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Colorado Regional
Red406
3005195.1
118216.6
4293141.1
Blue333
4944170.7
1730188.4
4068125.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions448284100200400500600700406333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#3
216.60.0
216.9→216.9
Auto28.7
Teleop156.3
End30.8
red by 28.2
1730
#9
188.40.2
188.9→188.6
Auto25.1
Teleop146.8
End16.1
Second
3005
#17
195.10.1
195.9→195.8
Auto25.3
Teleop140.0
End27.4
red by 24.4
4944
#15
170.70.1
170.4→170.5
Auto21.3
Teleop128.7
End20.2
Third
4293
#30
141.10.2
140.6→140.8
Auto17.5
Teleop109.8
End11.4
red by 16.0
4068
#52
125.10.5
124.0→124.6
Auto13.0
Teleop91.8
End20.6