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Semifinal 2-32018 Colorado Regional
Red415
3005195.1
118216.6
4293141.1
Blue184
2848181.4
1339182.7
4499154.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420313100200500600700415184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#3
216.60.1
216.8→216.8
Auto28.7
Teleop156.3
End30.8
red by 33.9
1339
#7
182.70.1
182.7→182.7
Auto26.0
Teleop132.9
End21.7
Second
3005
#17
195.10.1
195.5→195.3
Auto25.3
Teleop140.0
End27.4
red by 13.6
2848
#14
181.40.2
181.6→181.4
Auto22.6
Teleop132.1
End25.3
Third
4293
#30
141.10.0
141.0→141.1
Auto17.5
Teleop109.8
End11.4
blue by 13.4
4499
#16
154.40.0
154.4→154.4
Auto24.9
Teleop118.5
End11.1