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Qual 12018 Colorado Regional
Red373
118216.6
1303107.5
1410144.7
Blue187
2996173.5
1584117.2
3648103.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352286100200400500373187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#3
216.62.1
202.5→204.6
Auto28.7
Teleop156.3
End30.8
red by 43.1
2996
#4
173.52.0
152.8→154.9
Auto19.0
Teleop127.5
End28.5
Second
1410
#12
144.70.6
120.9→121.6
Auto17.6
Teleop111.3
End19.5
red by 27.4
1584
#29
117.215.7
76.8→92.6
Auto18.2
Teleop84.4
End14.2
Third
1303
#39
107.517.4
62.1→79.5
Auto15.5
Teleop88.8
End4.2
red by 3.8
3648
#50
103.715.6
78.3→93.8
Auto16.5
Teleop76.7
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed