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Red134
1977113.6
6459113.0
1157123.3
Blue229
3288109.1
464191.6
2240128.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3232220100400500600700134229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1157
#26
123.316.7
68.284.9
Auto17.4
Teleop91.1
End17.9
blue by 4.8
2240
#19
128.20.2
116.9116.7
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End22.3
Second
1977
#45
113.617.1
64.681.7
Auto15.5
Teleop89.0
End7.6
red by 4.5
3288
#28
109.114.9
84.599.4
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End11.6
Third
6459
#48
113.016.1
73.889.9
Auto12.9
Teleop92.1
End8.0
red by 21.4
4641
#42
91.61.4
88.687.3
Auto13.5
Teleop70.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed