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Qual 32018 Colorado Regional
Red142
3729110.9
1332127.0
4153114.7
Blue361
2261109.3
2848181.4
5414133.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1943910100300500600142361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1332
#34
127.016.9
66.3→83.2
Auto15.5
Teleop95.0
End18.3
blue by 54.4
2848
#14
181.40.3
174.9→175.2
Auto22.6
Teleop132.1
End25.3
Second
4153
#18
114.71.4
107.3→105.9
Auto15.8
Teleop88.6
End9.2
blue by 19.0
5414
#24
133.71.8
133.0→134.8
Auto19.7
Teleop102.5
End7.7
Third
3729
#36
110.90.0
109.7→109.7
Auto16.7
Teleop84.5
End9.7
red by 1.5
2261
#35
109.316.8
67.1→84.0
Auto14.4
Teleop85.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed