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Qual 102018 Colorado Regional
Red85
3288109.1
3648103.7
1157123.3
Blue393
4593128.9
4944170.7
4153114.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266319010020040050060085393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1157
#26
123.38.9
84.9→93.8
Auto17.4
Teleop91.1
End17.9
blue by 47.3
4944
#15
170.72.3
162.8→165.0
Auto21.3
Teleop128.7
End20.2
Second
3288
#28
109.112.4
99.4→111.8
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End11.6
blue by 19.8
4593
#21
128.913.2
84.8→98.0
Auto16.8
Teleop102.1
End6.3
Third
3648
#50
103.78.4
93.8→102.3
Auto16.5
Teleop76.7
End12.3
blue by 11.0
4153
#18
114.70.6
105.9→105.3
Auto15.8
Teleop88.6
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed