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Red464
1619223.4
118216.6
4499154.4
Blue118
2036110.0
1583117.5
1303107.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4991670100200300400600464118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223.43.3
195.7199.0
Auto25.0
Teleop152.5
End44.2
red by 105.9
1583
#43
117.517.3
63.080.3
Auto15.5
Teleop90.5
End11.9
Second
118
#3
216.61.7
204.6206.3
Auto28.7
Teleop156.3
End30.8
red by 106.7
2036
#46
110.016.1
73.389.4
Auto18.5
Teleop84.9
End4.6
Third
4499
#16
154.42.5
140.3142.7
Auto24.9
Teleop118.5
End11.1
red by 46.9
1303
#39
107.511.8
79.591.3
Auto15.5
Teleop88.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
65%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed