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Qual 82018 Colorado Regional
Red245
662123.0
4386122.7
1011172.0
Blue142
5126129.8
3807109.0
5899133.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3512110100300400500245142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#8
172.01.3
171.2→169.9
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End15.7
red by 38.6
5899
#22
133.416.4
70.5→87.0
Auto18.3
Teleop98.6
End18.1
Second
662
#44
123.00.2
132.1→132.4
Auto17.0
Teleop95.7
End11.4
blue by 6.8
5126
#32
129.80.5
126.7→127.2
Auto17.1
Teleop95.8
End18.2
Third
4386
#33
122.717.0
66.0→82.9
Auto16.5
Teleop88.4
End17.5
red by 13.7
3807
#23
109.018.4
53.5→71.9
Auto14.6
Teleop81.5
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed