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Qual 122018 Colorado Regional
Red148
2083100.0
464191.6
3729110.9
Blue339
5899133.4
4386122.7
4388162.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1813560100300400500600700148339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3729
#36
110.90.4
109.7→110.1
Auto16.7
Teleop84.5
End9.7
blue by 51.2
4388
#10
162.10.9
148.1→149.0
Auto16.8
Teleop124.9
End21.6
Second
2083
#49
100.06.4
92.1→98.5
Auto17.5
Teleop76.2
End4.8
blue by 33.4
5899
#22
133.410.4
87.0→97.4
Auto18.3
Teleop98.6
End18.1
Third
4641
#42
91.60.0
87.3→87.3
Auto13.5
Teleop70.0
End10.1
blue by 31.1
4386
#33
122.711.2
82.9→94.1
Auto16.5
Teleop88.4
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed