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Red272
1011172.0
2996173.5
3374148.9
Blue243
5657116.1
4068125.1
2848181.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3732460100200300400500272243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.50.2
154.9155.1
Auto19.0
Teleop127.5
End28.5
blue by 7.9
2848
#14
181.40.6
175.2175.7
Auto22.6
Teleop132.1
End25.3
Second
172.00.9
169.9169.0
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End15.7
red by 47.0
4068
#52
125.112.1
82.594.6
Auto13.0
Teleop91.8
End20.6
Third
3374
#13
148.91.7
140.0141.8
Auto20.2
Teleop117.2
End12.1
red by 32.8
5657
#40DQ
116.16.1
94.9101.1
Auto18.8
Teleop89.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed