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Red388
5126129.8
1339182.7
1619223.4
Blue290
1332127.0
5763134.1
1410144.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4591960100300400500388290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223.42.5
199.0201.5
Auto25.0
Teleop152.5
End44.2
red by 78.7
1410
#12
144.70.6
121.6122.1
Auto17.6
Teleop111.3
End19.5
Second
182.71.1
176.5177.6
Auto26.0
Teleop132.9
End21.7
red by 48.6
5763
#20
134.111.8
85.797.5
Auto18.3
Teleop104.5
End12.7
Third
5126
#32
129.80.2
127.2127.4
Auto17.1
Teleop95.8
End18.2
red by 2.8
1332
#34
127.011.9
83.295.1
Auto15.5
Teleop95.0
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed