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Red265
3807109.0
3200122.7
4293141.1
Blue166
4418116.3
2240128.2
1977113.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2902700100200400500600700800265166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4293
#30
141.111.0
96.6107.6
Auto17.5
Teleop109.8
End11.4
red by 12.9
2240
#19
128.20.8
116.7117.5
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End22.3
Second
3200
#27
122.72.3
112.7115.0
Auto19.3
Teleop94.2
End10.3
red by 6.4
4418
#51
116.312.7
91.4104.1
Auto15.9
Teleop87.5
End11.5
Third
3807
#23
109.011.8
71.983.6
Auto14.6
Teleop81.5
End16.1
blue by 4.5
1977
#45
113.69.2
81.790.9
Auto15.5
Teleop89.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed