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Qual 212018 Colorado Regional
Red296
3374148.9
2036110.0
698124.2
Blue330
2083100.0
1730188.4
1583117.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2563310100200300400500600296330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3374
#13
148.91.2
141.8→143.0
Auto20.2
Teleop117.2
End12.1
blue by 39.5
1730
#9
188.41.2
186.1→187.3
Auto25.1
Teleop146.8
End16.1
Second
698
#41
124.24.9
102.6→107.4
Auto18.8
Teleop91.9
End15.7
red by 6.7
1583
#43
117.57.8
91.4→99.3
Auto15.5
Teleop90.5
End11.9
Third
2036
#46
110.05.1
99.7→104.9
Auto18.5
Teleop84.9
End4.6
red by 9.9
2083
#49
100.03.6
98.5→102.1
Auto17.5
Teleop76.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed