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Red381
4593128.9
148238.0
1303107.5
Blue210
4386122.7
5414133.7
4293141.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4052300100300500600700381210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#2
238.02.8
218.7221.4
Auto24.8
Teleop172.2
End36.2
red by 97.0
4293
#30
141.17.8
107.6115.4
Auto17.5
Teleop109.8
End11.4
Second
4593
#21
128.911.1
98.0109.1
Auto16.8
Teleop102.1
End6.3
blue by 4.8
5414
#24
133.70.9
136.4137.2
Auto19.7
Teleop102.5
End7.7
Third
1303
#39
107.57.4
91.398.7
Auto15.5
Teleop88.8
End4.2
blue by 15.2
4386
#33
122.78.7
94.1102.8
Auto16.5
Teleop88.4
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
42%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed