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Qual 232018 Colorado Regional
Red440
2996173.5
5493114.4
1619223.4
Blue204
3648103.7
4944170.7
662123.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380275100200300500440204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#1
223.42.1
201.5→203.6
Auto25.0
Teleop152.5
End44.2
red by 52.7
4944
#15
170.72.7
165.0→167.8
Auto21.3
Teleop128.7
End20.2
Second
2996
#4
173.50.1
155.1→155.2
Auto19.0
Teleop127.5
End28.5
red by 50.5
662
#44
123.00.2
132.4→132.7
Auto17.0
Teleop95.7
End11.4
Third
5493
#25
114.41.1
110.6→109.6
Auto15.7
Teleop86.5
End14.7
red by 10.7
3648
#50
103.72.5
102.3→104.8
Auto16.5
Teleop76.7
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed