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Red389
159143.4
2261109.3
4499154.4
Blue226
6459113.0
1410144.7
5657116.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310273100200400500389226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#16
154.41.0
144.9145.8
Auto24.9
Teleop118.5
End11.1
red by 9.8
1410
#12
144.71.6
122.1123.8
Auto17.6
Teleop111.3
End19.5
Second
159
#11
143.41.4
121.8123.2
Auto21.7
Teleop107.6
End15.2
red by 27.4
5657
#40
116.15.6
101.1106.6
Auto18.8
Teleop89.0
End7.4
Third
2261
#35
109.38.4
95.7104.1
Auto14.4
Teleop85.0
End6.0
blue by 3.7
6459
#48
113.07.3
98.4105.7
Auto12.9
Teleop92.1
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed